Thank you Kevin, another thought proving article...
I wondered about the affect on civil aviation from climate change impacts. At the current rate of CO2 and CH4 emissions, clearly, it's not just Boeing and Airbus but Comac too that are going to find conducting safe passage through air routes challenging within the next 10 years - certainly by 2040 at the very latest.
Meanwhile, I refer to your work when I comment elsewhere, particularly on BBC News website comment forums. If you see a spike from UK readers I claim responsibility for that over the past month or so :o)
I will donate to your work later in the year as I've learnt such a lot not only about China but from from the cock ups we in the West keep making and have made for decades.
CO2 the stuff that makes plants grow constitutes 0.4% of our atmosphere and and has istorically been at higher levels over the centuries. Around 0.6. Climates never stay the same. Climate change is an excuse to steal Tax dollsrs and make us poor
Thanks Kevin. You're work is great, very informative. I briefly worked as a consultant at Boeing 20 years ago and it was obvious then that the management was going to crash the company unceremoniously into hard pack.
If I remember correctly, they had something like 4,000 partially integrated engineering and design software platforms - another area where Boeing and other US mfgs are running into serious problems simply because the executive teams do not have a rudimentary grasp of what required - or what's at stake.
The COMAC C919 apparently uses a lot of parts and control systems designed and manufactured in the west. You should look into that, and how readily these can be replaced, before you hail China as the new supplier.
At present the only country that makes it's own commercial aircraft entirely from domestically sourced parts is Russia. This is a recent development and they've yet to build their market, but two factors argue in their favour. First, that a single supplier can provide all replacement parts, and second, that BRICS members who buy them will be favoured over the competition.
It's also worth mentioning that the Avidadvigatel PD-14 engines can be sold as a replacement for Pratt & Whitney engines of the same horsepower, so when those need replacing anyone with P&W now has a lower cost alternative.
Thank you Kevin, another thought proving article...
I wondered about the affect on civil aviation from climate change impacts. At the current rate of CO2 and CH4 emissions, clearly, it's not just Boeing and Airbus but Comac too that are going to find conducting safe passage through air routes challenging within the next 10 years - certainly by 2040 at the very latest.
Meanwhile, I refer to your work when I comment elsewhere, particularly on BBC News website comment forums. If you see a spike from UK readers I claim responsibility for that over the past month or so :o)
I will donate to your work later in the year as I've learnt such a lot not only about China but from from the cock ups we in the West keep making and have made for decades.
Thank you again, Mark.
CO2 the stuff that makes plants grow constitutes 0.4% of our atmosphere and and has istorically been at higher levels over the centuries. Around 0.6. Climates never stay the same. Climate change is an excuse to steal Tax dollsrs and make us poor
Why would safe passage through air routes be challenging? What's the mechanism?
Thanks Kevin. You're work is great, very informative. I briefly worked as a consultant at Boeing 20 years ago and it was obvious then that the management was going to crash the company unceremoniously into hard pack.
If I remember correctly, they had something like 4,000 partially integrated engineering and design software platforms - another area where Boeing and other US mfgs are running into serious problems simply because the executive teams do not have a rudimentary grasp of what required - or what's at stake.
The COMAC C919 apparently uses a lot of parts and control systems designed and manufactured in the west. You should look into that, and how readily these can be replaced, before you hail China as the new supplier.
At present the only country that makes it's own commercial aircraft entirely from domestically sourced parts is Russia. This is a recent development and they've yet to build their market, but two factors argue in their favour. First, that a single supplier can provide all replacement parts, and second, that BRICS members who buy them will be favoured over the competition.
https://simpleflying.com/aeroflot-60-new-russian-planes-2025/
It's also worth mentioning that the Avidadvigatel PD-14 engines can be sold as a replacement for Pratt & Whitney engines of the same horsepower, so when those need replacing anyone with P&W now has a lower cost alternative.
Yes, I am aware of the SJ-100 and MC-21. https://smoothiex12.blogspot.com/2025/04/not-exaggeration.html
C919 foreign parts sourcing:
https://uploads.disquscdn.com/images/4ae17b5cbee728401ab71c4342d119a55ec1007732d1f6067441ac3ea051e6ef.jpg
I don't have the background to evaluate how difficult it will be for China to build these components themselves.
I suspect some of those parts will come from Russia since they're aiming to make all of them.